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Seasonal Analysis of XHS (SPDR S&P Health Care Services ETF)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 9/29/2011 to 7/26/2021 for XHS (SPDR S&P Health Care Services ETF), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy XHS is January
Historically, the best month to sell XHS is December

In January, XHS is historically down by -7.62%
In February, XHS is historically down by -5.79%
In March, XHS is historically down by -5.14%
In April, XHS is historically down by -5.03%
In May, XHS is historically down by -1.03%
In June, XHS is historically up by 1.14%
In July, XHS is historically up by 3.09%
In August, XHS is historically up by 1.99%
In September, XHS is historically up by 2.76%
In October, XHS is historically up by 2.73%
In November, XHS is historically up by 4.79%
In December, XHS is historically up by 8.09%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of XHS
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points514
Start Date of Data9/29/2011
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close22.09
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close115.46
Average Value of Adjusted Close56.65
Median Value of Adjusted Close56.46
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close19.63
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 34.65%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of XHS tends towards a value in the vicinity of 56.65 (the mean) and 56.46 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of XHS goes above 76.28 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 37.02 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of XHS goes above 95.91 (mean + 2 standard deviations) or below 17.39 (mean - 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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