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Seasonal Analysis of WPC (W. P. Carey Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 1/21/1998 to 7/26/2021 for WPC (W. P. Carey Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy WPC is February
Historically, the best month to sell WPC is December

In January, WPC is historically down by -6.22%
In February, WPC is historically down by -6.59%
In March, WPC is historically down by -2.38%
In April, WPC is historically down by -1.47%
In May, WPC is historically down by -2.33%
In June, WPC is historically down by -0.65%
In July, WPC is historically up by 1.66%
In August, WPC is historically up by 2.50%
In September, WPC is historically up by 2.48%
In October, WPC is historically up by 4.22%
In November, WPC is historically up by 3.82%
In December, WPC is historically up by 4.98%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of WPC
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points1228
Start Date of Data1/21/1998
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close3.78
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close84.08
Average Value of Adjusted Close26.62
Median Value of Adjusted Close14.15
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close22.13
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 83.13%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of WPC tends towards a value in the vicinity of 26.62 (the mean) and 14.15 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of WPC goes above 48.75 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 4.49 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of WPC goes above 70.88 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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