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Seasonal Analysis of ZNGA (Zynga Inc)


Seasonal Analysis

Using data from 12/16/2011 to 7/26/2021 for ZNGA (Zynga Inc), this program was able to calculate the following historical seasonal cycles for this stock:
Historically, the best month to buy ZNGA is February
Historically, the best month to sell ZNGA is December

In January, ZNGA is historically down by -6.11%
In February, ZNGA is historically down by -11.97%
In March, ZNGA is historically down by -6.96%
In April, ZNGA is historically down by -4.29%
In May, ZNGA is historically up by 4.08%
In June, ZNGA is historically up by 6.28%
In July, ZNGA is historically up by 3.46%
In August, ZNGA is historically down by -2.97%
In September, ZNGA is historically up by 2.24%
In October, ZNGA is historically up by 6.88%
In November, ZNGA is historically up by 2.25%
In December, ZNGA is historically up by 7.13%

Right click on the graph above to see the menu of operations (download, full screen, etc.)

See Also: Fourier Analysis of ZNGA
 
 
General Statistics
Number of Data Points503
Start Date of Data12/16/2011
End Date of Data7/26/2021
Minimum Value of Adjusted Close1.83
Maximum Value of Adjusted Close14.69
Average Value of Adjusted Close4.81
Median Value of Adjusted Close3.67
Standard Deviation of Adjusted Close2.76
Coefficient of Variation for Adjusted Close 57.35%
  Notes: "Adjusted Close" means closing price was adjusted for splits and dividends; Weekly (not daily) Adjusted close price was used for calculations; 
The average ("mean") and median are measures of central tendency.

For the given time period, the price of ZNGA tends towards a value in the vicinity of 4.81 (the mean) and 3.67 (the median).

Standard Deviation and Coefficient Of Variation are measures of dispersion. These can be used to measure the volatility (risk) of a security, and also to estimate the expected ranges of the price.

Assuming a normal distribution, we expect to see 68% of values within one Standard Deviation of the mean (average), 95% of the values within two standard deviations of the mean, and 99% of the values within three standard deviations of the mean.

If the price of ZNGA goes above 7.57 (mean + 1 standard deviation) or below 2.05 (mean - 1 standard deviation), then the reader is urged to investigate further for a possible buying or selling opportunity.

If the price of ZNGA goes above 10.32 (mean + 2 standard deviations), then the reader is urged to investigate further as this would be an unusual event.



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